Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.729304 7.425883 8.199118 9.128020 10.222983 11.484567 13.065772
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.597533 6.503252 7.592369 9.024724 10.900595 13.337772 16.860436
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.890198 5.862680 7.091947 8.807331 11.223431 14.652944 20.207220
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.452409 5.468680 6.804576 8.760519 11.689966 16.187976 24.304311
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.118983 5.158805 6.570028 8.721246 12.119619 17.723311 28.950221
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.925624 5.010049 6.528434 8.938306 12.961008 20.125207 36.323525
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.625031 4.680517 6.187413 8.641259 12.887661 20.856342 40.519200
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.365585 4.387497 5.870274 8.337783 12.742451 21.400489 44.578080
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.169089 4.170376 5.646577 8.156877 12.781537 22.323312 50.259984
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.027415 4.023276 5.516294 8.114422 13.067773 23.857388 58.988542
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.015353 4.067779 5.686821 8.607895 14.492468 28.531363 84.067471
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.942201 4.012643 5.690882 8.801747 15.340338 32.129115 111.281241
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.792875 3.838746 5.500902 8.643202 15.459689 33.984445 135.373297
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.664614 3.692177 5.348588 8.545878 15.721665 36.498289 173.130066
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.531408 3.529277 5.155412 8.345266 15.698973 38.119160 212.164156
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.435735 3.421024 5.047797 8.302058 16.057347 41.317711 290.362670
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.349377 3.322680 4.949642 8.265806 16.428176 44.854361 416.277765
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.304373 3.289550 4.964120 8.466091 17.485398 52.145211 814.848975
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.196607 3.145727 4.768308 8.191952 17.151948 52.853022 1050.489268
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.095430 3.008674 4.577298 7.911504 16.754408 53.086430 1332.446740
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.016182 2.905376 4.442720 7.744142 16.665975 54.978056 2060.019875
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.958756 2.836701 4.368365 7.704845 16.962931 59.355550 4963.954883
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.965708 2.878577 4.503827 8.161138 18.956379 76.975687 NaN